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Brad Davidson preview Kembla Apr 25

BRAD DAVIDSON PREVIEW KEMBLA APR 25 Mar 13 2020

Kembla Grange

Best bet

Race 4 no.1 Pioneer $3.80

Surprised he is still a Class 1 horse and he goes well this horse. He has been unsuited in three fast run races and he was clearly a better run than the winner, Le Lude two back and again best run in the race last start. Should get a softer time on speed here and be hard to run down on his home track.

Next best

Race 2 no.4 Stolen Jade $2.50

Had the flashing light on fresh and then got a bit bogged down on the heavy track last start when second behind dominant winner Archanna. Was well backed there and the 1400m with a drier track looks to be in her favour. Finds a very winnable race.

Small play

Race 6 no.12 Air To Air $6

Was well backed on debut in a good rating race and I like the way this filly has found the line in two runs to date. Her mum ran fourth in an Adrian Knox over 2000m and the way she races suggests the step up to 1600m should suit. Worth something small.

 

Warwick Farm early play

Race 5 no.3 Harpo Marx $3.50

Import who struggled first-up on the wet ground but hit the line with purpose second up at 1900m at Canterbury. His 2400m+ form overseas is outstanding for a race like this. He was beaten 4L by Nayeef Road in a Group 2 at Ascot over 2800m and that horse has beaten Constantinople and ran third to Logician. That’s proper Group form. Should lap up 2400m.

 

Normal strategy

Kembla Grange

Race 2 no.4 Stolen Jade 20 unit win at $2.50

Race 4 no.1 Pioneer 45 unit win at $3.80

Race 6 no.12 Air To Air 10 unit win at $6

Warwick Farm

Race 5 no.3 Harpo Marx 30 unit win at $3.50

Results: To be updated.

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

Long game strategy

Kembla Grange

Race 2 no.4 Stolen Jade 0.75 unit win at $2.50

Race 4 no.1 Pioneer 1.5 unit win at $3.80

Race 6 no.12 Air To Air 0.2 unit win at $6

Warwick Farm

Race 5 no.3 Harpo Marx 1 unit win at $3.50

Results: To be updated.

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.



Brad Davidson preview Kembla Apr 25 - Brad Davidson preview Kembla Apr 25


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