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The 'Davo' Directive with Brad Davidson- Hawkesbury 19-11-2020

Hawkesbury

Best Value

Race 5 No.2 Mo The Great $5.50 (rated $4.60) and no.1 Oakfield Captain $8 (rated $6.40)

The favourite, Spanish Point is hard to line up off the last start flop and he can win but I just thought he was a but short here. I also think Estroverto and Obscene are too short as well. Mo The Great didn't handle Kempsey last start but his form prior was sound for a race like this. He is over the odds. Oakfield Captain is the other one I want to play and he did enough fresh to improve off that run. He is well weighted here and just needs luck from the wide draw to figure.

 

Others To Mention

Race 4 No.9 Toscanini $4.40 (rated $4.40) and roughie No.2 Trust The Process $19/$5

No bet for strategy players on Toscanini here as price has firmed. I loved Toscanini's fresh win and he can take the next step here. He looks to have come back particularly well. I can make a case for Trust The Process at odds as well and this might be a tad short but the dry track is key and he will be running home late. I can speck him each-way.

 

Betting strategies explained (reset from November for next six months)

Normal Strategy

Race 4 No.2 Trust The Process 3 unit win at $19 and 9 unit place at $5

Race 5 No.1 Oakfield Captain 15 unit win at $8

Race 5 No.2 Mo The Great 15 unit win at $5.50

 

Long Game Strategy

Race 4 No.2 Trust The Process 0.1 unit at $19 and 0.3 unit place at $3

Race 5 No.1 Oakfield Captain 0.5 unit win at $8

Race 5 No.2 Mo The Great 0.5 unit win at $5.50

Gamble Responsibily. Gamblers Helpline 1800 858 858.

Think! About your choices.

 

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